New Reliability Studies of Data-Driven Aircraft Trajectory Prediction

Reliability Prediction of a Trajectory Verification System

The existence of software faults in safety-critical systems is not tolerable. The goals of software reliability assessment are estimating the failure probability of the program, θ, and gaining statistical confidence that θ is realistic. The paper presents practical problems and challenges encountered in an ongoing effort to assess and quantify software reliability of NASA’s Day-of-Launch I-Load...

The Study on Dispatch Reliability Prediction Model of Civil Aircraft

Dispatch reliability is the key parameters to reflect the overall reliability of civil aircraft, and it is also the important technical parameters needs to be considered in the original design of civil aircraft. According to the actual delay rate data of airlines, combined with the relationship between delay rate and dispatch reliability, from the perspective of civil aircraft design, author fi...

Aircraft operational reliability - A Model-based approach and case studies

Statistical prediction of aircraft trajectory: regression methods vs point-mass model

Ground-based aircraft trajectory prediction is a critical issue for air traffic management. A safe and efficient prediction is a prerequisite for the implementation of automated tools that detect and solve conflicts between trajectories. Moreover, regarding the safety constraints, it could be more reasonable to predict intervals rather than precise aircraft positions . In this paper, a standard...

Learning the aircraft mass and thrust to improve the ground-based trajectory prediction of climbing flights

Ground-based aircraft trajectory prediction is a major concern in air traffic control and management. A safe and efficient prediction is a prerequisite to the implementation of automated tools that detect and solve conflicts between trajectories. This paper focuses on the climb phase, because predictions are much less accurate in this phase than in the cruising phase. Trajectory prediction usua...